Compare home equity with renting and saving or investing the difference.
YOUR YEAR BY YEAR PICTURE
Rent or buy. See both paths.
Both paths start with the same $50,000. The buyer uses it for the down payment and purchase costs. The renter keeps it. Each month, the path with the lower housing cost puts the difference aside.
Every dollar figure below uses your inputs and a 3% assumed return on money put aside. Home values and returns can fall. These are examples, not predictions.
Solid red: BuyingDashed blue: Renting
Money you could have at the end of each year
Higher means more money in this example. Buying includes selling the home and paying off the loan.
Year 10: Renting is ahead by $4,841.This compares money you could have at that point. It does not tell you which home or lifestyle is right for you.
Buying in year 10
$200,119
Money you could have after selling
Estimated home value
$537,567
Subtract the loan still owed
$305,194
Subtract the cost to sell
$32,254
Home equity after selling
$200,119
Add money saved
$0
Monthly housing in year 10$3,809
Cash spent on housing so far$486,484
Renting in year 10
$204,959
Money you could have in your account
Cash kept at the start
$50,000
Money put aside each month, added up
$117,329
Assumed account growth or loss
$37,630
Total savings
$204,959
Monthly housing in year 10$3,027
Cash spent on housing so far$319,154
Do not subtract housing costs again. Those payments already affect how much each path can put aside. The buying total assumes a sale. Home equity is not spendable cash while you still own the home. A negative sale amount means more cash would be needed to sell.
How to read your numbers
1Monthly housing
The average monthly housing cost during that year. Buying includes the loan payment, taxes, insurance, HOA and a maintenance allowance.
2Cash spent so far
All housing payments through that year. Buying also includes the down payment and purchase costs. This does not mean all of that money is lost. Some pays down your loan.
3Home equity after selling
The home value minus the loan still owed and the estimated cost to sell. This can be negative.
4Money you could have
Buying: equity after selling plus saved or invested cash. Renting: saved or invested cash. These are the numbers in the chart and table.
Follow the change, one year at a time
Read across each row. Compare the red buying amount with the blue renting amount. The last column says which is higher and by how much. Select a year to see its breakdown above.
Money you could have, using the savings assumption of 3% a year. Dollar amounts are rounded.
YearYears from now
BuyingEquity after selling + money put aside
RentingMoney kept + money put aside + growth or loss
The differenceWhich amount is higher in this example?
Buying$31,304
Renting$65,596
Renting is ahead by $34,292
Buying$47,216
Renting$81,208
Renting is ahead by $33,992
Buying$63,763
Renting$96,823
Renting is ahead by $33,060
Buying$80,977
Renting$112,429
Renting is ahead by $31,452
Buying$98,888
Renting$128,009
Renting is ahead by $29,121
Buying$117,528
Renting$143,549
Renting is ahead by $26,020
Buying$136,934
Renting$159,032
Renting is ahead by $22,098
Buying$157,142
Renting$174,440
Renting is ahead by $17,299
Buying$178,189
Renting$189,756
Renting is ahead by $11,566
Buying$200,119
Renting$204,959
Renting is ahead by $4,841
Renting stays equal to or above buying at every year end in this example. Different assumptions can change the result. There is no guaranteed break even year.
What is included, and what could change the result?
The renter invests the down payment and purchase costs from day one. Each month the lower cost path invests the difference, so both paths use the same overall budget. Buying includes amortization, editable carrying costs and estimated selling costs. Returns and appreciation are hypothetical and may be negative. Mortgage insurance is held constant until payoff. HOA is held constant. Taxes on gains, deductions, deposit costs, investment fees, inflation and transaction timing differences are excluded. A positive modeled advantage is not a recommendation to buy.
Monthly housing is the average for that year. Cash spent so far includes housing bills, plus the buyer’s starting cash. It excludes money put aside and the final selling costs, which are deducted from home value separately. Account growth is applied monthly, with new money added at month end. Try a shorter stay, no home price growth or a lower investment return to see how the result changes.
Let’s talk about what fits your life.
A payment you can live with and cash for surprises matter too.